Tuesday, December 23, 2008

Destruction of wealth

Recent numbers:

1) According to a report issued by the Fed: In the third quarter of 2008, U.S. households lost $647 billion in real estate; $922 billion in stocks; $523 billion in mutual funds; $653 billion in life insurance and pension fund reserves; plus $128 billion in private business interests. 

2) The Treasury reports that $330 billion of the TARP have been allocated to banks, yet by far most of this money has gone into the "re-capitalization" of these banks. That is, this lump sum of taxpayer money has not worked as planned to loosen credit markets. 

3) The amount of household wealth destroyed in the third quarter alone amounts to $2.8 trillion--apparently the worst quarterly loss in recorded history (although sources don't claim to adjust for inflation).

4) Deflation is here. U.S. consumer prices fell at an annual rate of 12%; producer prices fell at an annual rate of 26.4%; commodity prices are down as much as 70% from their peak.

All of this indicates that we are about to witness depression era levels of unemployment, business closings, bank failures and scarcity in the coming year. 

What does this all mean? Things will likely be changing on an unprecedented scale. Make it a priority to create stability in your home, your community and beyond. Think about self-sufficiency and, beyond that, what you can do to make your community better able to withstand the shock of dwindling government largess. By all means, stock up on canned- and dry-goods, learn to bake and cook from scratch, put in a garden, etc., but also take time out of your week to donate time, money, goods and good will to community projects. Instead of "battening down the hatches" or "hunkering down," we'll get through this mess far better working together.

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